The Merlion Baller

By MERLION$ | Merlion Finance

🎬 The Plot Twist Nobody Expected

If you’re still holding NVDA like it’s the fountain of eternal tech profits, you might want to pause. Big-shots are quietly exiting the party while everyone else keeps dancing.

• Peter Thiel – yes, the PayPal-founder-turned-hyper-investor – just dumped his entire NVDA stake according to his latest 13F filing. Reddit+1
• SoftBank Group? They sold ~$5.8 billion worth of NVDA stock and are pivoting hard into other AI bets. Financial Times+1

So yes, maybe the music’s about to stop – but the drinks ain’t all spilled yet.

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📉 Hype vs Reality

Here’s the thing: NVDA’s been hyped like the final boss of tech stocks. AI chips, data centres, hype, hype, more hype. But when the very people who knew the stock decide to bail, you gotta ask: what do they know that we don’t?

Thiel’s reasoning? According to the Reddit thread, he warned the AI trade was getting ahead of its economics. Reddit
SoftBank’s reasoning? They said nothing directly bad about Nvidia. They’re just shifting capital into something even bigger (or at least they believe so). Tom’s Hardware

So what do we do when the whales jump off the boat?

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🦁 Merlion’s Take — Don’t Panic, But Stay Sharp

Here’s how I see it from Singapore shores:

1. If you’re still holding NVDA – good luck lah. But maybe dial your expectations. If you treated it like a safe tech blue-chip, you’re in for some turbulence.
2. If you’re chasing the next AI moonshot – cool. But remember: when the big guys sell, there are three possibilities:
   • They know it’s overvalued and are taking profits.
   • They found a better bet and need to free up cash.
   • They expect something nasty (macro, regulation, tech) that we haven’t seen yet.
3. If you’re in Singapore and local investor – don’t blindly follow the hype. Use this as a signal to check your portfolio. Are you in roles/stocks just because “everyone else is”? Or do you have conviction?

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🧭 What to Watch Out For

• Valuation mania: When EVERYONE says “AI will grow 10x in 2 years”, that’s when you buckle up.
• Insider/expert exits: If the ones with access are leaving, you better ask yourself why.
• Rotation of capital: SoftBank is selling chips to buy… what exactly? If you know, you’re ahead.
• Macro/regulation risk: Big tech + AI = huge regulatory headwinds, especially globally. Might be the hidden brake.

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✅ Final Word

This isn’t a “sell everything” call. It’s more a “wake up and check what you’re doing” call.
If you’re holding AI-hyped stocks (chip makers, cloud infra, data-centre plays), make sure you:

• Know why you’re holding them (not just because they “feel” like winners).
• Have exit criteria (just in case the momentum fizzles).
• Diversify so you’re not betting your future on one company or one theme.

“When the whales bail, the waves get bigger – stay on your board, but watch the tide.”

Stay sharp. Stay rational. And as always – 🦁 Stay ballin’.
– MERLION$ | MerlionFinance.com